The Wages of Fear

July 1st, 2009

This crisis is more difficult than anything I’ve faced professionally in my entire life. It makes me realize how fortunate I was for my first 20 work years–how protected and insulated from the business cycle I was.

As I began my work career in 1984 for GTE, I envisioned, like the preceding generation, that I would eventually retire from that company. “You are the future leaders of GTE,” managers told the group of new hires into their management-training program, and I believed it. I even felt that someday I could be CEO of GTE.

Six years later, I left, entranced by the possibility of a startup. I loved the small team size, the direct connection between my performance and the company’s results. We had all-employee meetings standing up in the lab.

Less than two years later, it was apparent that the dream of riches wasn’t to be (a good lesson; I didn’t realize then how rarely startup dreams convert into riches).

Next step was EDS, a gigantic company, though I was in a remote outpost (Boston) which made working for a mammoth corporation much more palatable. The work concerned cellular telephony. (At the time, handsets were called “bricks,” and were nearly as heavy. They cost $1000.) The industry grew so quickly that there was plenty of new business for all comers. I was in marketing now, product management, where I developed my love for launching new products. I made lots of mistakes there, and I learned a ton, eventually developing a specialty helping salespeople structure, price and communicate complex outsourcing deals.

But in 1997 EDS started to retrench in telecom, and I had spent enough time in Boston. I moved to Atlanta, had a brief cup of coffee with Alltel (that’s another story) which I will cherish forever because I met my wife there, and was recruited to join LHS, an IPO wonder story.

LHS was a crazy place, full of conflicts, overcommitted, with everyone checking the stock price on Yahoo five times a day. I loved it. I managed alliances with Airtouch, Logica and others. I helped close some important deals and learned about the give and take required to create and sustain a successful alliance–as well as lots of lessons about what not to do.

Then LHS was sold, and the buyer offered me a lame marketing position. Not for me. My wife and I were looking to move north, closer to relatives, when a job opening came up at a telecom billing provider near Harrisburg, PA. It was a chance to report to a CEO, be a part owner of a company, and get pretty close to the top (as close, I learned, as I wanted to get).

Of course, this was in 2000. The tech bubble had burst, and all the telecom growth projections that had proven conservative in prior years were insanely optimistic now. We struggled to grow (not fun for the VP of Sales & Marketing), but worked hard to keep our most important customers and bring on important new ones.

But like lots of companies you read about now, we were overleveraged. The loans came due, and we couldn’t refinance. We were sold, and there wasn’t a great fit between me and the new owners.

I went out on my own, which was difficult, then as I started to get a foothold, all this shit happened in the summer of 2008, which we’re still living with.

So here we are. I wouldn’t want to go back. I love what I do now. But I do miss how easy it was in the old days. I can’t decide if this is an anomalous situation or whether 1984-2000 was the anomaly. Perhaps they both are.

I started this post to make a point, but I honestly can’t remember it now. I’d rather teach and share than vent or complain. We’ll make it through this era, and someday we’ll look back on this as the greatest life lesson we ever learned. But at the moment I’m ready for the lesson to end.

Please consider sharing your feelings in the comments.

N.B.: Each company I mention in this post has been merged out of independent existence. One, LHS, re-emerged as a standalone company.

(”The Wages of Fear” is a 1953 French movie.)

Memo to marketers: stop shouting

June 30th, 2009

When Billy Mays died over the weekend, his Times obituary observed that

Mr. Mays learned his craft on the Atlantic City Boardwalk, where he drew crowds as he hawked his mops and other wares. His big break came in the mid-1990s when he was hired by Orange Glo International to appear on the Home Shopping Network to promote the company’s line of cleaners, which included OxiClean, Orange Glo and Kaboom.

I liked Billy Mays; in fact, we have some OxiClean and Mighty Putty in our closets here at home (unused, I’m pretty sure). My kids enjoyed his TV pitches. But I think that his passing is an opportunity to re-evaluate how marketers talk about their products.

Because despite the new community-building and discussion tools the internet has provided us, we marketers still communicate more like Atlantic City barkers than friends or businesspeople.

Consider the state of marketing messaging.

Send Sales Rep Productivity Sky-High
*

Nokia Saudi Arabia Capitalizes On Its Revolutionary Software & Solutions To Redefine Mobile Use**

Illumina Introduces Breakthrough Software Advancements with Genome AnalyzerIIx Sequencing System***

Just cut, activate and apply Mighty Putty™ to fix, fill or seal almost any surface!

There is one powerful similarity between Billy Mays’ pitches and the “serious” press release headlines above. Their purpose is to get our attention. “Revolutionary!” “Breakthrough!” But these words have lost their meaning through overuse and underdelivery–no one believes them anymore. [There's also one striking difference--Mighty Putty has Billy Mays, a real person, who you can laugh with, remember, and even mourn.]

Isn’t it time to retire “breakthrough” and “revolutionary” marketing copy for B2B products?

Granted that there’s a lot of noise out there about all products, but there are far better and more effective ways of finding and engaging with customers than adding your voice to the chorus of shouters.

* salesforce.com
** Nokia
*** Illumina

Sony to (eventually) marry cellphone, PSP handheld

June 29th, 2009

I almost fell out of my chair when I read this today:

Sony plans to set up a project team as early as July to develop a new product that combines functions of its portable game player and Sony Ericsson’s mobile phones, the Nikkei [Business Daily] said.

“As early as July”! If I have my calculations right, the iPhone has been on the market for two years. Sony & Ericsson should have built a prototype years ago. But now, finally, with tens of millions of iPhones sold, and a million Palm Pre’s, Sony is ready to put that project team together.

Is it any wonder that Sony is in trouble?

Teamwork works for Netflix Prize competitors

June 29th, 2009

Netflix has undoubtedly gotten much more than $1MM in publicity for its contest awarding a cool million to anyone able to improve its recommendation engine by more than 10%. But the contest appears to be winding down. According to the New York Times, a group has surpassed the 10% barrier, starting a 30-day countdown for any competitor to beat their performance and claim the prize instead.

It’s not likely to happen. That’s because the leading group is an alliance of several of the top performers in the competition, who abandoned their individual projects for a joint effort to push the needle past the magical 10% threshold. The Times wrote:

BellKor’s Pragmatic Chaos [the alliance's name] is a pretty elite crowd. The group is a collection of the 2007 and 2008 winners of the Netflix Progress Prizes — $50,000 a year for the teams that made the most progress toward the 10 percent improvement — and a pair of engineers from Montreal who have long been near the top of the contest’s leaderboard.

One of the tenets of alliances is that it’s better to get 25% of $1MM than 100% of nothing. For longtime competitors to band together shows how difficult the 10% barrier was, and the significant incremental value of combining different ideas.

In these times, it may be prudent to throw out the old rules of going it alone, and restricting alliances to those you don’t compete with. It worked for BellKor’s Pragmatic Chaos.

(Disclosure: I am a Netflix subscriber.)

Related posts:
Netflix demolishes own business model
Follow-ups: Netflix and “Harry Potter Marketing”

The Mistake Bank’s Groundswell Awards Nomination

June 25th, 2009

The following is an entry application for The Mistake Bank in the 2009 Groundswell Awards in the category Social Impact:

Is it socially impactful to provide a site to share stories of mistakes people make in business and in life?

In the past year, more than 400 people have joined the network. The list of members includes university professors, executives and artists.

More than 100 stories have been shared, in text, video, audio and even comic form.

The site has served as a repository on literature of learning from mistakes, and included some lessons on what a mistake story isn’t.

Here’s a partial list of the blogs and newspapers that have discussed The Mistake Bank:

Chief Learning Officer

Rita Gunther McGrath
Reach Customers Online
Central Penn Business Journal
Full Circle Associates
Startup Nation
Wissensmanagement (German)
The Marketing Blog
Tim Berry - Planning Startups Stories
Michael Ludwig Höfer (German)
Pete Warden
WorldBlu
Delta Knowledge
Les Idées qui Parlent (French)
Juybar (Arabic)
Scott Berkun
Lasagna & Chips
Project Management Tips
Knowledgeer-at-Large
Engineers Without Fears
Управление Компанией
Bob Sutton
WorkLiteracy
Green Chameleon
Library Clips
O’Reilly Radar
Better Projects
Selling to Big Companies
Anecdote

It’s terribly difficult to reveal our errors to others, especially those we don’t know. I am amazed at the generosity of those who have shared their stories for others to learn from.

I believe that this site has served a useful purpose and brought us a little closer to a community that can embrace its humanity, share its failings and as a result learn faster how to get along better in this world.

Best Buy sees an opportunity in mobile distribution

June 25th, 2009

Brian Dunn, the new CEO of Best Buy, announced yesterday, in an interview published in the Wall Street Journal, that the US’ largest electronics retailer is seeking a 15% share of mobile activations, up from its current 3%, and will be opening 40 Best Buy Mobile stores in the US. Dunn said this is part of Best Buy’s strategic focus on connected devices.

This is a smart goal for a number of reasons. Wireless distribution is highly fragmented, service is uneven (even at the company-owned stories), and many independent distributors are exclusive to a single carrier. As devices proliferate, the carrier connection will be less important, and guidance & support, a Best Buy hallmark, will become more crucial.

Additionally, building a standalone mobile brand opens the door for Best Buy to take its private label strategy to the mobile marketplace, creating unique bundles of devices, services and applications that they can brand and sell–something difficult for Wal-mart, the electronics retail “elephant in the room” to compete with.

It’s a winning strategy for Best Buy, and a boon to customers.

Related post:
Sprint reveals more on its wholesale strategy

Photo by asmythie via Flickr creative commons

Standing on the shoulders of giants… and not acknowledging so

June 24th, 2009

Two interesting stories today about publicly taking others’ work without credit.

1. Best-selling author Chris Anderson acknowledged that sections of his new book “Free: The Future of a Radical Price” were copied without attribution from Wikipedia. Waldo Jacquith, an observant reviewer from the Virginia Quarterly Review, discovered the identical passages. The New York Times ArtsBeat blog wrote:

[Anderson in a phone interview] said he originally wrote the sections using the material from Wikipedia in quotations, and had hoped to cite them using footnotes. But while Mr. Anderson wanted to provide a URL address in the notes, he said the publisher wanted to add a time stamp as well. Mr. Anderson objected, on the grounds that Wikipedia pages change constantly as users update them. “It felt archaic and clumsy,” he said. Such notes, he said, “would be months out of date.”

Read the Virginia Quarterly Review analysis, look at the comparisons, and see if you agree with Anderson’s explanation.

2. TED took down a video in which Chris Hughes demonstrated a technology called “augmented reality” using Flash video after many commenters protested that the demo was based on two software projects that Hughes didn’t mention (a commenter noted that “Chris conveniently forgets to mention the projects which are about 95% of the work, but does remember his own name twice”).

Here’s Hughes’ explanation of the situation.

Customers are talking: The Hot Line

June 24th, 2009

Have you ever filled in a survey card in a hotel room? I haven’t either. But more times than I could count I have wanted to let a hotel know about something I liked about my stay or wasn’t happy about.

Survey cards don’t capture much meaningful information. During most of my stays, everything is fine; nothing noteworthy. Then again, sometimes, I’m passionate about something, and I want to let the hotel know about it. Survey questions like “Rate the cleanliness of your room 1 2 3 4 5″ are highly unlikely to pinpoint the thing that made me happy or disappointed.

If I do want to relate a situation on a comment card, I need to handwrite it in the space at the bottom. Have you ever seen my handwriting? Sometimes I can’t even read it. And there’s not much room to lay out a whole scenario.

All of the above leaves an impression that the hotel really doesn’t want to know what I think. They are happy with “no comment” or with a card with all 4s and 5s circled. But I don’t believe that. I think that hotels really care about their customers’ feedback and would love an easy-to-use, effective way to gather candid feedback on their services.

I recommend this: set up a hot line.

Imagine a card that says, “We really want to know what you thought of your stay. What delighted you? What outraged you? Call x611 to tell your story. If you do, we’ll give you a $25 meal voucher good for your next stay.” It would take 30 seconds to record a story. And it could be done in the moment, when the customer’s recall was fresh. [Also: ask them for a title for their story.]

The rest is pretty simple. The messages are recorded. There are scads of different recording systems to do that. You can autotranscribe the calls using technologies like SpinVox or Dial2Do. Then you’ll have a real repository of customer stories that will tell you what’s working in your hotel… and what’s not. If you want to know what to do with that repository… well, come to the webinar on July 1.

Related post:
The Eureka Button

[Self-promotion: webinar on "Customer Insight From the Ground Up," next Wednesday at 1pm US eastern time.]

Follow ups - Netflix & “Harry Potter Marketing”

June 23rd, 2009

Both the above topics, subjects of recent posts, were discussed today in separate articles in the Wall Street Journal.

This article recounts the history of Netflix’s move into on-demand video, with a nice behind-the-scenes view into the thinking of CEO Reed Hastings, and the senior team’s discussions as they pondered trying to make their old business model, delivering DVDs by mail, obsolete. (Here’s our earlier post on the subject.) The story of the development of the device that eventually became Roku is fascinating - demonstrating a collaborative approach and healthy dissent that’s rare in senior teams I’ve known. (In particular, Hastings is candid about his Apple envy–as we learned from “Think Again: Why Good Leaders Make Bad Decisions and How to Keep it From Happening to You,” being aware of how attachments can affect decisions is crucial for avoiding disasters.)

And this piece discusses the relaunch of the Ford Taurus. This one particular quote caught my eye:

“I think Ford is chasing the original Taurus fans with this car, all of which are much older than when that car was at its peak,” said Karl Brauer, editor in chief at Edmunds.com, an auto-sales Web site. “The new model seems more like a Ford Town Car targeted at 45-plus drivers rather than a high-volume family sedan.”

Does this mean that Ford is engaging in “Harry Potter Marketing” - in which a brand ages with its audience? If so, it provides a stark contrast with its competitor GM, whose attempts to reposition Cadillac triggered this recent post.

I look forward to following the Taurus’ progress in the marketplace - to see if the target group will buy it enough numbers to inspire further attempts at HPM.

Related posts:
Frontiers of innovation: Netflix demolishes own business model
Shop Talk Podcast: Sydney Finkelstein on “Think Again”
Why didn’t GM use “Harry Potter Marketing”?

Customers are talking: reading signals from the edge

June 22nd, 2009

In Search of Innovation,” in the WSJ Business Insight section today, provides a useful synopsis of ideas for finding new growth areas. The basic lesson is unsurprising but still useful: to discover new growth areas you have to look where you normally don’t.

An excellent addition to the article itself is the audio interview on the web page with co-author John Bessant of the Imperial College Business School in London. Bessant focuses on listening to weak signals of customers/prospects “at the edge” of the business for sources of innovation. He points out four key areas companies can look:

1. Geographies - Western companies need to understand the innovations required by customers in emerging economies far from corporate headquarters.
2. Underserved customers/noncustomers - as stated by Clayton Christensen and others, look for people who don’t use your products and try to understand why.
3. Critics - don’t ignore complaints–use them to assess how your products can be improved. As Bessant says, people don’t complain to annoy you, but instead to communicate their frustration.
4. Competitors’ customers - to find competitors’ weaknesses and strengths and to explore gaps in both your products and your competitors’.

And of course the best way to learn from people fitting any of these descriptions is to find their stories–via interviews, reading blog postings, Tweets, etc. That will tell you what you need to know.

[Self-promotion: webinar on "Customer Insight From the Ground Up," next Wednesday at 1pm US eastern time.]